Flemington Carnival System Competition Winners
With more than $1500 worth of access to our sectional data up
for grabs, some of Punting Form's best system builders entered our
Flemington Carnival contest aiming to have the most profitable
system for one or more of the three staking types: Flat,
Proportional and Kelly.
After naming some systems as "Honourable Mentions" on social
media throughout the day, it's now time to announce the winning
The Kelly Criterion
Formulator's system FC MARVELOUS MALES was the most profitable
"Kelly" system over the week of the carnival, yielding a 126%
profit on turnover or a total of $513.79 profit based on the
default bank size. Under Kelly staking rules, it would have given
you 4 winners from 18 bets. The system also came in second for Flat
staking with a PoT of 58.2% and a total profit of $785 from $50
For taking out the "Kelly" category, Formulator has won himself
two months of free access to Sectional Pro Form, which is valued at
Flat and Proportional
The other two staking categories were won by the same system,
the imaginatively named FC 1 by ProPunter. With 15 winners from 56
hits, FC 1 delivered a 28.6% profit on turnover for Flat staking,
which would have yielded an $800 profit from $50 bets, just edging
out Formulator's system by $15.
For Proportional betting, the profit on turnover was 24.8% and
the total profit was $197.10 if betting to win $50 on each runner.
This was enough for a narrow $12.58 margin over the 2nd best
proportional system (another Formulator creation).
With wins in both categories, ProPunter has earned four months
of free SPF access, valued at $1056.
Congratulations to both of our winners!
Flemington Carnival Competition
The Flemington Carnival is only 8 days away and Punting Form is
offering prizes for the members who can create the most profitable
systems that cover the following meetings: Victoria Derby Day
(October 31st), Melbourne Cup Day (November 3rd), Oaks Day
(November 5th) and Stakes Day (November 7th).
The systems that finish with the most total profit for each of
the three staking methods (flat, proportional, Kelly) over the
Flemington Carnival will receive 2 months access to Sectional Pro
Form (which includes the Pro Form product and Quick Meeting Guides
with ratings for every meeting in Australia). That means by
sweeping all three categories, you could win a total of 6 months of
free access valued at over $1500!
To be eligible to win:
- your system must have been created between October 23rd and
- it must be restricted to runners at Flemington only (use the
- the name of the system should begin with the letters FC
- you must create no more than three systems for the
Free Ratings for Cox Plate Day
Punting Form are giving away our ratings for Saturday's meeting
at Moonee Valley, including the three million dollar Cox Plate. Our
Quick Meeting Guide shows the top four ranked runners in each of
five categories: Neural, Class/Weight, Race Time, Sectional Time
and an overall Punting Form score that encompasses the other
These ratings have a proven track record over several years and
can provide an edge based on information that is not available
elsewhere. You can read
more about the ratings here. The ratings are updated whenever
there are scratchings or changes to track conditions, so be sure to
check them as close to race time as possible. Click on the link
below to see the ratings for this week.
Ratings for Moonee Valley - October 24, 2015.
We have just completed an archive of private systems that have
not been subscribed to this year.
If you have a system that you want back drop a line to email@example.com
with your PF username and we will restore them for you.
Mobile-friendly Site Update
Over the last few days, we have been updating the website to
make it more mobile-friendly. These changes may cause some display
issues which can be rectified by clearing your web browser's cache.
Holding the Control key and pressing F5 can usually achieve this,
but if not here are links to the instructions for some of the most
If you have any issues, email us at firstname.lastname@example.org
and we'll help you through it. We hope you enjoy the improved look
and functionality of the site on your mobile device.
May's Top Systems
We're taking a look at the top performing systems and the most
successful system builders for the month of May, 2015. In order to
be considered, a system must have been created before May 1st,
Biggest Single Winner - Hey Murri (Toowoomba, Race 7,
23rd May) - $101.10
Five systems picked Hey Murri, three of them created by
Formulator. It helped The
- $harpener$ to the highest return on investment of any system
(using flat staking) in May. 16 winners from 132 hits for the month
would have almost doubled your money. However, April was a tough
month for the system and it still has a bit to prove.
More Bang For Your Buck only had two winners for the month and
needed Hey Murri to get it into the positive for May. Even that big
winner wasn't quite enough to get it into the black since creation
although it has been slightly profitable with proportional betting.
The other Formulator system that picked Hey Murri will be discussed
Neither of the two non-Formulator systems that picked Hey Murri
has shown a consistent ability to get those kinds of winners.
Cow is slightly in the red no matter how you might have staked
with it, while symorg's Perfecto would have made
you a small profit if you'd been flat betting on it since creation
thanks to Hey Murri. Both systems would have been marginally
profitable in May even without their big winner, but we need to see
more from them.
More Hits Than Misses
Three systems had a strike rate of more than 50% from 10 or more
runners in May. thebaldman's Amazing
Maidens scored on 7 out of 10 short priced runners to deliver a
21% return on investment for the month. It's the 2nd straight
profitable month after a poor start to the year and the system is
at 6% profit on 80 runners since creation.
Another thebaldman system, Fav game, hit on 17 of 33
selections in May which would have more than tripled your money if
you'd flat staked on it all month. This system has been around for
about 18 months and this is the first time it's trended in an
upward direction, so it will need a few more months like this to
win is a system from eibecka, who had another system just below
50% for May as well which is named 79%
place. The numbers have changed a bit since these systems were
named but in May 39%
win won with 7 of 12 runners to take it's strike rate since
creation to 34%. 79%
place had 7 winners and 12 placings from 15 May runners.
SYSTEM OF THE MONTH
in Blinkers - selection didn't quite match a couple of its
Formulator stablemates this month for total returns, but it was
another to pick Hey Murri and has been showing steady profits for
more than a year now with runners from all over the price spectrum.
For May, it had 19 winners from 136 hits which was enough for a 60%
profit for the month. Since creation, it has picked winners with
13.4% of its selections and returned a 15% profit with flat
staking, putting it on top of the flat staking table for ROI. It's
had even higher profitability using the Kelly criterion.
Hot Systems (28/1 to 28/4)
A look at the Top Public Systems list can, of course, be very
informative when you're deciding on a system to follow. Viewing
performance since creation can let you know which systems have been
the most successful over the long haul, while viewing performance
over the last 3 months can alert you to "hot" systems which may be
currently outperforming some of the successful older ones. However,
the last 3 months performance can be misleading if the system was
created less than 3 months ago. Sometimes a system is built on a
strong historical record but then fails as a predictive tool.
Today, we're taking a quick look at the top seven most
profitable systems from the last three months (based on
proportional staking) which have been available as public systems
for the entire period. All of these systems would have produced a
profit of at least $400 if you were betting to win $50 on each
This humbly named system was only a few weeks old three months
ago, so its "career" numbers are similar to the three month
statistics. It's been running at a 19.9% strike rate since January
28th which has resulted in a profit on turnover of 23.05%. It has
multiple runners every day and has produced winners as high as
2. $hort 'n' $weet
Born in late 2013, this system has been only marginally
profitable at about 1.4% PoT but has a solid strike rate of 38%.
The last three months have been going at 41.6% win rate and in that
time the profit has increased to 10.1%. It has picked 18 winners
out of its last 26 hits and is possibly the hottest system of the
3. Favourites Of The
Dating from mid-December, its had a strike rate of 33.2% and a
PoT of 2.31% since creation. Over the last three months, these
numbers have improved to 35.4% wins and 10.53% profit. It had five
winners out of its seven runners last weekend.
4. At Threes and Fours
Active since October 2014, it's got a 23.5% strike rate and just
over 3% profit on turnover but in the last three months, it's been
running at better than 24% wins and 14.13% PoT. Between Monday and
Thursday last week, it picked four winners out of five (with the
only loser running 2nd).
5. Massive Wins &
Another hot one from thebaldman, dating from around the same
time, it's had a modest 5.7% strike rate and is marginally in the
red since creation. Over the last three months, it's upped the win
rate to 7.2% which has resulted in a huge leap to 23.64% PoT. It's
on a long streak of outs at the moment, but with a high dividend of
almost $90 it can afford a few misses between the hits.
6. Leader Of The Pack
Three months ago, this system was already a year old and its
yielded a solid 16.36% PoT from its 23.5% strike rate since
creation. Over the last three months, those numbers have improved
to a massive 40.39% PoT and 28.8% wins. While the average dividend
is a modest $3.98, it has had winners over $20 mixed in with the
shorter priced runners.
7. James McDonald (Tylendale)
Almost six months old, this system started slowly but had the
highest PoT of any system over February and March. The only reason
it hasn't been as profitable as the systems above is its relatively
low number of runners. It's had 81 hits since January 28th, 23.5%
of them winners. A high average dividend of $6.71 has resulted in
better than 53% profit on turnover.
Builder Spotlight - Brystar
On Punting Form's Top Public Systems list, there is a system
that has been in or near the top spot for several months when the
systems are sorted for proportional staking since creation. MagicalSwoopers is
now almost a year old and is approaching $2000 in profits (betting
to win $50 on each runner). It's the most successful system for one
of our most successful builders, Brystar.
Brystar has a couple of dozen systems that are currently making
a profit and we're going to be taking a look at a few of the best
As mentioned above, this system is first overall when it comes
to profits on proportional staking since system creation. An
excellent strike rate of 31.4% while still coming up with winners
that pay double figures (high of $13.90) makes MagicalSwoopers very
popular with our users. It has a profit on turnover of 13.4% with
proportional staking and is only slightly lower using flat staking
This system is now about 10 months old and a flat bet on each of
its runners would have yielded a 4.1% profit up to this point. With
a strike rate of just 12.6%, it relies on big dividends to be
profitable and has an average of $8.24. It quite often greatly
exceeds that number and it's highest payer was at $118.30. If you
use the Kelly criterion to determine your stakes, this is one of
the top 5 systems for profitabiiity at 14% of turnover.
This is a system that had a terrific start after its creation,
but it has levelled off somewhat since then. It remains profitable
as a flat staking system with a strike rate of 19.4% and an average
dividend of $5.23 (high of $31) but we'd like to see this one get
back to its early form after a rough start to 2015. It finds plenty
of runners and is still a good choice if you're one who likes to
analyse the runners for yourself rather than just blindly take a
system's word for it.
With just 11 wins from 546 hits in its 9 months of existence,
this one might appear to be a disaster at first glance. But with an
average dividend of $56.25 and a high of $101, its managing a 13.3%
profit on turnover using flat staking. It's most recent winner
would have paid $4,165 on a $50 bet, which makes the 37 straight
misses since then easier to take. And the next big hit might be
just around the corner.
Brystar has dozens more systems to look through, including many
that are race specific, and more are being created all the
time. To check out his full range, go to the Systems
Dashboard, select the Search tab, then enter Brystar in the System
Creator field and click the Search button.
Free Ratings for Lightning Stakes Day!
Free Flemington Ratings
Our ratings are based on our unique sectional data and have a
proven track record over many years, giving an edge that could make
all the difference.
Our Quick Guide for tomorrow's meeting reveals the top four
horses for each race in five different categories (neural price,
class rating, sectional time, race time and PF score). Explanations
of these five categories can be found here and
the ratings will be updated on race day, so remember to check back
here in the morning. Best of luck!
Builder Spotlight - Formulator
Over the next few weeks, we're going to be taking a closer look
at some of our best system creators and seeing which of their
systems are hot and which systems have proven themselves over the
long haul. To open the series, we're putting Formulator under the
One of Punting Form's most successful system builders,
Formulator has over 40 profitable systems for subscribers to choose
from and his name is a familiar fixture of the Top Public Systems
list. He has systems that produce dozens of runners every week and
he's also known for coming up with race specific systems that serve
their purpose in a single day.
Mega Pot (Full Field
This one has been producing consistent winners for almost two
years now and ranks as the 2nd most profitable system ever using a
proportional staking method. If you were betting to win $50 on
every horse that this system has suggested since it was created,
then you'd be $1,343.74 wealthier today. It's yielded a 7.9% profit
on turnover from 2608 runners in its 22 months of existence and has
at least a couple of picks for its subscribers every day.
TIME FACTORS (2014
If you prefer flat staking, then this system is definitely one
to follow. A little over 8 months old, it's the 3rd most profitable
flat staking plan since creation and would have increased your bank
by $941 if you'd put $5 on each of its runners over that time. Like
Mega Pot, the strike rate is not high (8.9%), but it often finds
winners paying double figures. A fortnight ago, it had an $82
winner in Hobart which was a new high for the system.
Price For Profit
For those Kelly stakers out there, this sytem is number 2 since
creation on that list. It's about 7 months old and has delivered a
114.8% profit on turnover using the Kelly criterion. The system
focuses on trainer Mick Price and has been quiet for the past
month, but you can expect the number of runners to start picking up
Home Boys (2014
When it comes to strike rate, this is Formulator's best system
with over 40% of its picks coming up winners. In 8 months since
creation it's correctly tipped 132 times from 326 attempts and if
you'd been betting to win $50 each tme, you'd be $1,172.34 better
off today. With an average dividend of $2.61 and a high of $5, this
is one for those punters that like to back the favourite.
There are dozens more Formulator systems that are worth a look
and new ones being built all the time. To check out his full range,
go to the Systems Dashboard, select the Search tab, then enter
Formulator in the System Creator field and click the Search